Amir Coffey Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Amir Coffey

G-F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 3:42 AM EST

Analysis

Amir Coffey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amir Coffey has attempted 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Amir Coffey has tallied 26.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Amir Coffey measures in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, posting a measly 1.1 fouls per game this year.
In regard to offense, the LA Clippers's superb 124.0 points per game rates 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The LA Clippers will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Amir Coffey slots into the 11th percentile for three-point efficiency while on his home court with a a subpar 17.4% rate this year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have tallied 9.7 shot attempts per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The 6th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Clippers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 8thworst in in the league as the home team with just 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).