Amir Coffey Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Amir Coffey

NBA · Player Props

Amir Coffey

G-F · LA Clippers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Amir Coffey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amir Coffey has averaged 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the league (9th percentile).
The Mavericks have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Clippers.
The Clippers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Dallas may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage (23rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Amir Coffey has put up 2.5 points per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the league in this category: 7th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Amir Coffey comes in at the 5th percentile for shooting prowess with a a bad 30.4% rate this year.
Amir Coffey has averaged 9.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the league: 9th percentile.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Clippers.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 0.8 3-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, creating a tough matchup.

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