Amen Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has tallied 3.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's tallied overall this year at home.
Amen Thompson has been on the court for 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season.
The Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Amen Thompson will likely see a rise in output across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.

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