Amen Thompson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-108/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson ranks in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, putting up only 1.0 fouls per game while playing on the road since the start of last season.
The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Favors Under

The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.
Amen Thompson will likely see a decline in productivity across the board on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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