Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2026

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat · Mar 21, 2026

Updated Mar 21, 2026 3:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a strong matchup.
The Heat have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 15.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Rockets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The matchup against Miami may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are away from home (4th-least in the NBA).

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