Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2025

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 21, 2025

Updated Nov 22, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 16.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 foul shots per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should decrease plays for the Houston Rockets.

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