Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 26, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 9.6 rate, Amen Thompson's points per game have increased this season to 14.1.
Amen Thompson has tallied 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have posted 21.1 points per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Hawks).
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has converted 20.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc while on his home court this year, putting him in the 14th percentile out of all players in the league.
As it relates to offense, the Rockets's lackluster 44.9% field goal percentage playing at home rates 5th-worst in the league this year.
The 8th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Houston Rockets.

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