Amen Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards · Nov 11, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson slots into the 77th percentile for field goal ability with a superb 51.3% rate this year.
The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a positive one; they have allowed the 6th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (20.2).
The Wizards have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards is a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.0 free throws per game this year (10th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has sunk 12.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc while at home this year, placing him in the 10th percentile out of all players in the league.
In regard to scoring, the Rockets's unimpressive 43.5% field goal percentage settles in as the 4th-lowest in the league this year.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

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