Amen Thompson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Amen Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Amen Thompson

G-F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 7:33 PM EST

Analysis

Amen Thompson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+362/-556).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -455 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -556.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Amen Thompson has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 9.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 threes per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Amen Thompson has converted 21.3% of his three-point attempts while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Amen Thompson ranks in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.2 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's poor 32.9% rate of made threes as the away team measures as the weakest in the league this year.
Amen Thompson will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

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