Alperen Sengun Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Houston Rockets · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has put up 9.8 rebounds per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.
Alperen Sengun has played 32.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Bulls have given up the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance for all stats.

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