Alperen Sengun Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:53 AM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has tallied 8.2 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
Alperen Sengun has tallied 31.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.
Alperen Sengun will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun measures in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.9 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The 4th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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