Alperen Sengun Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Houston Rockets · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has averaged 11.0 rebounds per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
Alperen Sengun has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's played overall this year.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road.
The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Pistons.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Pistons have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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