Alperen Sengun Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has averaged an impressive 3.3 offensive rebounds per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.9 offensive rebounds per game last season.
Alperen Sengun has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (which also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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