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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 4/20/2025

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has converted 7.3 buckets per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Alperen Sengun has attempted 6.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games while playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alperen Sengun has converted 22.7% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.

In terms of 3-point shots, the Rockets's subpar 35.0% rate of drained threes as the home team rates 6th-weakest in the league this year.

The showdown with Draymond Green rates in the 6th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs posting only 10.0 points per game this year when they are on their home court.

The Houston Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

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