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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2025

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has sunk 55.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.2% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Alperen Sengun has tallied 31.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The 7th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alperen Sengun has sunk 23.1% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 14th percentile among all players in the NBA.

In terms of treys, the Rockets's poor 34.8% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage rates 7th-worst in the league this year.

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have scored 11.0 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.

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