Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has attempted 17.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Alperen Sengun has tallied 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The clash with DeAndre Jordan places in the 100th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs nailing a colossal 75.0% of their 3-point attempts this year when they are away from home.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 31.7% rate, Alperen Sengun's three-point prowess has declined this year to 21.4%.
Alperen Sengun has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The Rockets check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
Alperen Sengun will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to lower stat production for all stats.

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