Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Houston Rockets · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has attempted 15.1 field goals per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 31.3 minutes per game this year.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun comes in at the 92nd percentile for drawing fouls, totaling a massive 4.6 foul shot attempts per game away from his home court this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun rates in the 16th percentile for three-point prowess with an unimpressive 24.0% rate this year.
In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's subpar 106.2 points per game as the away team comes in as the 9th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
The faceoff with Mark Williams slots into the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs hitting just 4.0 baskets per game this year when they are on the visiting team.
The Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hornets).
Alperen Sengun will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.