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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 12/3/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has converted 8.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 higher than he's put through the net overall this season without the home court advantage.

Alperen Sengun has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.

The Rockets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Alperen Sengun has attempted 7.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alperen Sengun has made 0.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 21.4% lower than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year while on the road.

As it relates to 3-point shots, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 32.5% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 4th-weakest in the league this year.

The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a hard one; he has allowed a lowly 13.0 points per game with the home court advantage when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Kings).

The showdown with Domantas Sabonis in terms of getting to the charity stripe comes in at the 11th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting just 1.9 foul shots per game this year when they are on the away squad.

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