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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has made 8.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 45.8% of his treys over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's converted from three over the course of the year.

The rate of field goals sunk against Brook Lopez has been very high (60.9%) when he is playing at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alperen Sengun has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (83rd percentile).

The Houston Rockets rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA on the road this year.

The Rockets are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 9th-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks).

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Brook Lopez has been very low this year (2.0 foul shots per game: 7th percentile).

Alperen Sengun ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this contest.

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