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Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Alperen Sengun has attempted 1.9 three-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 0.8 mark last year.Out of all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.7 minutes per game this year.This year when they are on the road, their opposition has averaged 33.5 three attempts per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a tough matchup.The rate of threes converted against Jakob Poeltl has been quite high (46.1%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).The 4th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Rockets.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 3.3 fouls per game this year.When it comes to shooting, the Rockets's unimpressive 111.0 points per game while playing on the road ranks 7th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games.The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Rockets.The Toronto Raptors have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).Alperen Sengun has shot and missed 1.5 foul shot attempts per game this year, significantly more than his 1.1 mark last year.
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