Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2024

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 6, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has converted 9.7 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 31.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Rockets rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a hard one for 3-point shots; their opposition has put up the lowest three percentage in the NBA over the last 25 games (31.7%).
The number of shots from the field against Brook Lopez has been remarkably high (11.8 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Rockets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The clash with Brook Lopez as it relates to drawing fouls slots into the 17th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting only 2.9 foul shots per game this year.

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