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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has converted an impressive 8.0 baskets per game this season, a big improvement over his 5.9 rate last season.

Alperen Sengun has played 31.2 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

With respect to treys, the Houston Rockets's fantastic 38.9% rate of converted threes while playing at home rates 8th-best in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Markieff Morris is a strong one; he has given up a monstrous 17.0 points per game when facing fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while at home this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Markieff Morris has been very low this year (2.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are on their home court: 11th percentile).

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