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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has sunk a whopping 8.0 field goals per game this season, significantly higher than his 5.9 rate last season.

Alperen Sengun has tallied 31.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's stellar 39.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 6th-best in the league over the last 11 games.

This matchup is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Hawks are the visiting squad, opposing squads have shot for the 10th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (36.0%).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The faceoff with Clint Capela lands in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs notching a mere 14.3 points per game this year when they have the home court advantage.

The 4th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

The Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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