Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has converted a whopping 8.5 field goals per game this season, significantly more than his 5.9 mark last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
In regard to treys, the Houston Rockets's terrific 39.0% rate of sunk threes places 5th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup against San Antonio is a good one for field goals; when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 28th-most buckets per game in the league this year (6.3).
The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 0.3 rate, Alperen Sengun's three-point shots scored have jumped this season to 0.9 per game.
The 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Spurs, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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