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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 5.8 rate, Alperen Sengun's field goals drained have surged this season to 9.6 per game.

Alperen Sengun has sunk an impressive 1.4 3-pointers per game this season, significantly higher than his 0.3 rate last season.

When it comes to shooting, the Houston Rockets's exceptional 47.9% field goal percentage on their home court comes in as the 8th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled 12.1 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making this a strong matchup.

Alperen Sengun has attempted 6.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 3.2 mark, Alperen Sengun's personal fouls per game have jumped this season to 3.6.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 4thworst in in the league as the road team with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

While playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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