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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has successfully made a whopping 8.5 baskets per game this year, a significant increase from his 5.9 rate last year.

As it relates to treys, the Rockets's remarkable 37.9% rate of drained threes places 10th-most in the league this year.

This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 4.3 free throws per game (22nd-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Alperen Sengun figures to see a rise in production across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alperen Sengun has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting Cs have shot 46.7% on field goals (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, creating a hard matchup.

The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

The Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

The Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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