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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Alperen Sengun has sunk a whopping 8.6 shots made from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 5.9 rate last year.
  • Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one; when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting squad, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (17.6).
  • The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
  • This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 7.1 free throws per game (30th-most in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, finding it easy to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Alperen Sengun has accumulated 4.5 personal fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.2 fouls per game last season.
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.
  • The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 7 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have snagged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Warriors (retaining possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense).
  • Alperen Sengun has converted a lowly 51.6% of his free throws this season, significantly less than his 66.8 mark last season.

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