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Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Relative to last season's 5.9 rate, Alperen Sengun's shots scored have surged this season to 8.3 per game.Alperen Sengun has tallied 31.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.In terms of scoring, the Houston Rockets's remarkable 48.3% field goal rate while on the road comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league at home this year, which should increase plays for the Houston Rockets.When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun rates in the 20th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while on his home court, logging 0.8 per game since the start of last season.Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun lands in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.8 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a difficult one; when the LA Clippers are the visiting squad, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs this year (8.3).The 2nd-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
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