Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 2:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 7.6 field goals per game while at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.
Alperen Sengun has tallied a mere 2.0 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.7 fouls per game last year.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have logged 22.0 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, resulting in a good matchup for offensive output.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Pelicans).
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun slots into the 20th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc playing at home, registering 1.6 per game this year.
The Rockets have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from home since the start of last season.
The Rockets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league while playing at home this year.
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has brought down 13.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (lengthening possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

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