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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has averaged an impressive 14.8 points per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 9.6 points per game last season.

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Alperen Sengun has tallied 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Alperen Sengun will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improves player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alperen Sengun has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (99th percentile).

The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for scoring; opposing starting Cs have put up the 13th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (55.7%).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Rockets.

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