Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has scored a terrific 14.7 points per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 9.6 points per game last season.
Alperen Sengun has converted 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 15.7% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one for scoring; when the Lakers are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 30th-most baskets per game in the league this year (6.2).
The Lakers have played at the fastest pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should increase possessions for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (99th percentile).
The Houston Rockets have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home.
On the road, the Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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