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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Houston Rockets vs Detroit Pistons

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has averaged a terrific 14.7 points per game this year, quite a bit more than his 9.6 points per game last year.

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 23.3% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season when playing at home.

The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Pistons may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games (25th-most in the NBA).

Alperen Sengun will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to raises player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alperen Sengun has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (98th percentile).

The Houston Rockets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.

The matchup against the Pistons is a difficult one for threes; opposing starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least three-point shots per game in the league this year (0.2).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Pistons have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Rockets.

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