Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 2:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has scored a whopping 14.6 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 9.6 points per game last year.
Alperen Sengun has sunk 55.0% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 15.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while playing on the road.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Nets is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 4.4 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Nets is a difficult one for field goals; the other team's starting Cs have put up the 8th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (56.9%).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Nets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Rockets.

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