Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Mar 24, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 5:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has scored a terrific 14.8 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 9.6 points per game last year.
Alperen Sengun has successfully made 56.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 17.4% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
Alperen Sengun has played 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the season.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games on the road.
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games at home, which ought to raise possessions for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a tough one; they have given up the 11th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (12.7).
The matchup against Xavier Tillman is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk just 24.1% of their three-point attempts (14th percentile).
The Grizzlies have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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