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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Alperen Sengun has averaged a whopping 14.7 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 9.6 points per game last season.
  • Alperen Sengun has made a terrific 54.5% of his shots from the field this year, significantly more than his 47.0 mark last year.
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
  • The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court, which ought to raise possessions for the Rockets.
  • The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Alperen Sengun has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a hard one; they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (12.6).
  • The matchup vs. Xavier Tillman is a challenging one for three-pointers; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made just 24.1% of their attempts from downtown (13th percentile).
  • On their home court, the Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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