Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 1:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has attempted 10.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Alperen Sengun has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 higher than he's played in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Houston Rockets have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Warriors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one for field goals; the opposing team's starting Cs have put up the 14th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (52.9%).
The Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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