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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Rockets have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.

The matchup against the Celtics is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team this year (103.9).

The Houston Rockets have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.

The matchup against the Celtics may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a lowly 17.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should reduce opportunities for the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

On the road, the Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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