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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has attempted 10.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Alperen Sengun has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Houston Rockets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

The matchup against Denver is a strong one; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs over the last 15 games (15.3).

The Houston Rockets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alperen Sengun has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 25 games (8th-least in the league).

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