Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has attempted 10.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Alperen Sengun has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Houston Rockets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The matchup against Denver is a strong one; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs over the last 15 games (15.3).
The Houston Rockets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 25 games (8th-least in the league).

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