Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Houston Rockets · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has sunk 5.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 higher than he's converted in all games this year while playing away from home.
Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a favorable one for field goals; the opposition's starting Cs have posted the 29th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (61.3%).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Portland may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Trail Blazers have the home court advantage (5th-least in the NBA).
Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production across the board.

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