Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has made 66.7% of his treys over the last 15 games on the road, 27.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on the road.
The matchup against Jaylin Williams is a positive one for shots from the field; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a whopping 65.0% of their shots from the field (100th percentile).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Jaylin Williams is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when Williams is playing at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game (4th percentile).
Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

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