Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has converted 63.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.3% higher than he's made overall this season.
Alperen Sengun has successfully made 70.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 35.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The Houston Rockets have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (37.3%).
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing starting Cs have averaged the 8th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (0.5).
The Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease possessions for the Rockets.

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