Alperen Sengun Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz · Jan 5, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has made 54.0% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
Alperen Sengun has sunk 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 26.5% higher than he's made in all games this season.
Alperen Sengun has attempted 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a good one for 3-point attempts; when playing on the road, their opposition have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (31.3).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
On the road, the Jazz have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to their opposition this year (which will also lead to fewer [OPPORTUNITIES_CHANCES] for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a mere 24.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the league).
The Houston Rockets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Rockets have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to reduce plays for the Jazz.

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