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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -270 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -280.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has averaged 32.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The matchup against Victor Wembanyama is a strong one for 3-pointers; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a monstrous 35.8% of their 3-pointers (89th percentile).

The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.

The Houston Rockets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 3.2 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.

With respect to 3-pointers, the Rockets's subpar 32.2% rate of sunk threes places lowest in the league over the last 25 games.

While on the road, the Spurs have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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