Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Houston Rockets · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-220).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The matchup vs. Portland is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Trail Blazers are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have put up the 24th-highest three percentage in the league this year (36.0%).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has shot and missed 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's missed from downtown over the course of the year.
Alperen Sengun has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Houston Rockets rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production across the board.