Alperen Sengun Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2025

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 20, 2025

Updated Apr 21, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has compiled 6.4 assists per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.8 more than he's compiled over the course of the year at home.
Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun figures to see a rise in output for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Houston Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

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