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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Assists
Player Prop - 1/8/2024

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has put up a terrific 5.1 assists per game this year, significantly more than his 3.9 assists per game last year.

Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game this year.

The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alperen Sengun has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.

Alperen Sengun will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces stat production across the board.

More Alperen Sengun Player Props

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