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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Assists
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has averaged 5.5 assists per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.

This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

Alperen Sengun figures to see a rise in production across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alperen Sengun has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.

The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

The Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

The Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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