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Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun Assists
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+155/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alperen Sengun has compiled 5.4 assists per game over the last 15 games when playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year at home.

Alperen Sengun has tallied 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Alperen Sengun will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improves player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alperen Sengun has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (99th percentile).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Rockets.

The Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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