Alperen Sengun Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 11:37 PM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has totaled 3.3 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the league by this standard recently: 80th percentile.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Nets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Rockets.
The Nets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Alperen Sengun will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player production for all stats.

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