Alperen Sengun Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Alperen Sengun

NBA · Player Props

Alperen Sengun

C · Houston Rockets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Alperen Sengun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alperen Sengun has averaged 4.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
Alperen Sengun has tallied 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Houston Rockets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league at home this year.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Rockets.
Alperen Sengun will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Alperen Sengun has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Spurs have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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